What we said / what happened
Every published Market Desk read is logged with its claim, the tell we were watching, and what would prove it wrong — then scored against realized price action across 1, 3, 5, and 10-day windows. Verdicts only turn confirmed or contradicted on a decisive move in (or against) the stated direction. Until a window matures, a read stays tracking. No retroactive edits.
The receipt ledger is building. Published reads appear here as their outcome windows mature.
Receipts are educational measurement only and not investment advice. Returns are measured from daily closes; futures and index reads are tracked against liquid ETF proxies (e.g. ES→SPY, NQ→QQQ, CL→USO), so a window reflects the proxy basket rather than the exact contract. Past measurement does not predict future results.