Is the Trading Expectancy Calculator free?

Yes. The Trading Expectancy Calculator is free and can be used without a paid Nexural subscription.

Is this financial advice?

No. This is an educational trading tool. It does not recommend trades, position sizes, securities, or futures contracts for any individual account.

Edge Tool

Win rate is incomplete without expectancy.

A 40% win-rate system can make money. A 70% win-rate system can lose money. Expectancy is the cleaner question.

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Interactive tool

Expectancy per trade

Win rate

Average win

Average loss

Expectancy per trade

+0.26R

Positive output. Now verify the setup quality before trusting the result.

(winRate / 100 * avgWin) - ((1 - winRate / 100) * avgLoss)

Result report

Compare the result to your written trade plan.

Re-run it whenever your account size, stop, or contract changes.

Want our trades as we take them? That's Pro, $47/month or $470/year. Paid plans open to the founding list first.

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Visual model

The tool should change the next decision, not just return a number.

Each tool gives a usable answer on the spot. No account needed.

At a glance

This page

Trading Expectancy Calculator

What you get

Expectancy per trade

How to read it

Use the output as a review prompt, not a signal.

Positive expectancy means the setup has mathematical room to work.
Negative expectancy means either win rate, average win, or average loss needs repair.
Track expectancy by setup, not only for the whole account.

Risk disclosure

This tool is educational. It does not place trades, recommend trades, or know your personal financial situation. Trading stocks, options, futures and crypto involves substantial risk of loss and is not suitable for everyone. You can lose more than you invest in leveraged products. Only trade money you can afford to lose. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Methodology

Reviewed as educational research, not trade advice.

Futures-first risk math before product claims.

Every page answers your question before it asks anything of you.

Tools are educational and never produce trade recommendations.

Formulas are shown on the page. Results are educational, never trade recommendations.

Trust file

Author: Sage
Reviewed by: Sage
Updated: 2026-05-28
Scope: Education only. Not trade advice.

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Where to go next

The tools are free. The trades are in Pro.

Every calculator and guide here is free, no account needed. If you want to learn the craft, that is the Academy. If you want our trades as we take them, with alerts, that is Pro. New paid memberships are paused right now, so paid plans go through the waitlist.

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Free$0
The community, the indicators, and everything we publish for free.
Join the free Discord
Academy$25/month
The education side — learning how to trade.
Join the Academy waitlist
Pro$47/month
Our trades as we take them, with alerts. Plus Automation (beta).
Join the Pro waitlist
AutomationBeta — included with Pro
Automation (beta, included with Pro): our bots run on paper trading first, and real money comes later, only after they prove out.
Join the Pro waitlist to test it

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